Единственная игра в городе: центральные банки, нестабильность и предотвращение следующего коллапса
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CHAPTER 17: BRIDGING THE GAP BETWEEN MARKETS AND FUNDAMENTALS
1. Jim Puzzanghera, “Yellen Upbeat About Growth in the Coming Quarter,” Los Angeles Times, May 7, 2014, http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-yellen-economy-20140508-story.html.
2. Binyamin Appelbaum, “Q. and A. With Charles Plosser of the Fed: Raise Rates Sooner Rather Than Later,” New York Times, January 30, 2015, http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/30/upshot/q-and-a-with-charles-plosser-of-the-fed-raise-rates-sooner-rather-than-later.html.
3. Claire Jones, Robin Wigglesworth, and James Politi, “Fed Fights Back Against ‘Feral Hogs,’ ” Financial Times, June 24, 2013, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9d8fa63e-dce6-11e2-b52b-00144feab7de.html.
4. Mohamed A. El-Erian, “Big Money vs Bernanke: Who’s Right About the Economy,” Atlantic, July 3, 2013, http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/07/big-money-vs-bernanke-whos-right-about-the-economy/277548/.
5. Joshua Zumbrun, “Fed Hears Warning That Tightening Policy May Spark Market Tumult,” Bloomberg News, February 28, 2014,berg.com/news/2014-02-28/fed-hears-warning-that-tightening-policy-may-spark-market-tumult.html.
6. Andrew Filardo and Boris Hofmann, “Forward Guidance at the Zero Lower Bound,” BIS Quarterly Review, March 2014, Bank for International Settlements, http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt1403f.htm.
7. Robin Harding, “Federal Reserve Dissenter Kocherlakota Attacks New Guidance,” Financial Times, March 21, 2014, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1607d9b8-b105-11e3-bbd4-00144feab7de.html.
8. Mohamed A. El-Erian, “Here’s Why Jeremy Stein’s Departure from the Federal Reserve Matters,” Business Insider, April 5, 2014,insider.com/why-jeremy-steins-departure-is-important-2014-4.
9. Jeremy C. Stein, “Challenges to Monetary Policy Communication,” speech to the Money Marketeers of New York University, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, May 6, 2014,A similar point was made by Hyun Song Shin, “Commentary on Robert E. Hall, ‘The Routes into and out of the Zero Lower Bound,’ ” speech delivered at conference on Global Dimensions of Unconventional Monetary Policy, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 22–24, 2013.
10. Janet Yellen, “Monetary Policy and Financial Stability,” speech at the 2014 Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture, International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C., July 2, 2014, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/yellen20140702a.htm.
11. Mohamed A. El-Erian, “Yellen Lays Out Her Policy Blueprint,” Bloomberg View, July 7, 2014, http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-07-07/yellen-lays-out-her-policy-blueprint.
12. Stanley Fischer, “Financial Sector Reform: How Far Are We?,” Martin Feldstein Lecture at the National Bureau of Economic Research, July 10, 2014, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/fischer20140710a.htm.
13. Jeremy C. Stein, “Overheating in Credit Markets: Origins, Measurement, and Policy Responses,” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, February 7, 2013, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/stein20130207a.htm.
14. Jaime Caruana, “Macro-Prudential Policies: Opportunities and Challenges,” speech to the Tenth High-Level Meeting for the Middle East and North Africa, Bank for International Settlements, December 9, 2014, http://www.bis.org/speeches/sp141219.pdf.
15. “Staff Guidance Note on Macro-Prudential Policies,” International Monetary Fund, December 2014, http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2014/110614.pdf.
CHAPTER 18: IT IS HARD TO BE A GOOD HOUSE IN A CHALLENGED NEIGHBORHOOD
1. Martin Wolf, “A Rebuff of China’s Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank Is Folly,” Financial Times, March 24, 2015, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/0dff595e-d16a-11e4-86c8-00144feab7de.html.
2. Mohamed A. El-Erian, “M&A Boom Must Evolve to Create Growth,” Financial Times, August 20, 2014, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d3b11b24-26c5-11e4-8df5-00144feabdc0.html.
3. Michael MacKenzie and Eric Platt, “US Companies on Course to Return $1 Trillion to Shareholders in 2015,” Financial Times, April 12, 2015, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/2c1a34d8-dfa5-11e4-a06a-00144feab7de.html.
CHAPTER 19: ADDRESSING THE TEN BIG CHALLENGES
1. “Q and A with Charles Plosser, President of the Fed: Raise Interest Rates Sooner Rather than Later,” New York Times, January 30, 2015, http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/30/upshot/q-and-a-with-charles-plosser-of-the-fed-raise-rates-sooner-rather-than-later.html.
2. Chris Giles and Ferdinando Giugliano, “Raise Rates or Face ‘Devastating Bubbles,’ Says Fed Official,” Financial Times, March 23, 2015, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/62c65f4c-d15f-11e4-86c8-00144feab7de.html.
3. Stanley Fischer, “Monetary Policy and the Way Ahead,” speech to the Economic Club of New York, March 23, 2015, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/fischer20150323a.htm.
CHAPTER 20: THE REDUCED-FORM APPROACH TO A GRAND POLICY DESIGN
1. Special thanks to Professor Michael Spence, who has been instrumental in helping me think through these issues.
2. The 2015 Economic Report of the President, White House Council of Economic Advisers, February 19, 2015, http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/docs/cea_2015_erp.pdf.
3. Michael Spence, “Five Reasons for Slow Growth,” Project Syndicate, September 29, 2014, http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/slow-economic-growth-reasons-by-michael-spence-2014-12.
4. “The Fund’s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt,” International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C., June 2014, http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2014/052214a.pdf.
5. See, for example, “Debt Relief Under the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative,” IMF Factsheet, Washington, D.C., September 2014, https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/hipc.htm.