На краю пропасти. Экзистенциальный риск и будущее человечества
Шрифт:
Bacon, F. (2004). ‘Novum Organum’, in G. Rees and M. Wakely (eds), The Oxford Francis Bacon, vol. 11: The Instauratio magna Part II: Novum organum and Associated Texts (pp. 48–586). Oxford University Press (original work published in 1620). [Бэкон Ф. Вторая часть сочинения, называемая “Новый органон, или Истинные указания для истолкования природы” // Сочинения в двух томах. Т. 2. М.: Мысль, 1978.]
Baier, A. (1981). ‘The Rights of Past and Future Persons’, in E. Partridge (ed.), Responsibilities to Future Generations: Environmental Ethics (pp. 171–183). Prometheus Books.
Bailey, R. T. (1997). ‘Estimation from Zero-Failure Data’. Risk Analysis, 17 (3), 375–380.
Ball, D. (2006). ‘The Probabilities of “On the Beach”: Assessing “Armageddon Scenarios” in the 21st Century’ (Working Studies Paper No. 401), in Strategic and Defence Studies Centre.
Bambach, R. K. (2006). ‘Phanerozoic Biodiversity Mass Extinctions’. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 34 (1), 127–155.
Bar-On, Y. M., Phillips, R., and Milo, R. (2018). ‘The Biomass Distribution on Earth’. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115 (25), 6, 506–511.
Barnosky, A. D., et al. (2011). ‘Has the Earth’s Sixth Mass Extinction Already Arrived?’ Nature, 471 (7336), 51–57.
Barry, P. L. (2000). Continents in Collision: Pangea Ultima. https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2000/ast06oct_1
Bartholomew, R. E., and Radford, B. (2011). The Martians have Landed! A History of Media-Driven Panics and Hoaxes. McFarland.
Baum, S. D., Denkenberger, D. C., Pearce, J. M., Robock, A., and Winkler, R. (2015). ‘Resilience to Global Food Supply Catastrophes’. Environment Systems and Decisions, 35 (2), 301–313.
BBC (12 November 2015). ‘Russia Reveals Giant Nuclear Torpedo in State TV “leak” ’. BBC News.
Beade, A. P. M., Ahlonsou, E., Ding, Y., and Schimel, D. (2001). ‘The Climate System: An Overview’, in J. T. Houghton, et al. (eds), Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.
Beck, U. (2009). World at Risk (trans. C. Cronin). Polity Press.
Beckstead, N. (2013). ‘On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future’ [PhD Thesis]. Department of Philosophy, Rutgers University.
Benedictow, O. J. (2004). The Black Death, 1346–1353: The Complete History. Boydell Press.
Bengio, Y., et al. (2017). Creating Human-level AI: How and When? (Panel from The Beneficial AI 2017 Conference) [Video]. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0aXMTpZTfc
Bernstein, A., and Roberts, M. de V. (1958). ‘Computer v Chess-Player’. Scientific American, 198 (6), 96–105.
Bethe, H., Brown, H., Seitz, F., and Szilard, L. (1950). ‘The Facts About the Hydrogen Bomb’. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 6 (4), 106–109.
Blanton, T., Burr, W., and Savranskaya, S. (2012). The Underwater Cuban Missile Crisis: Soviet Submarines and the Risk of Nuclear War. National Security Archive, Electronic Briefing Book No. 399. National Security Archive.
Boberg, J. (2005). ‘Freshwater Availability’, in J. Boberg (ed.), How Demographic Changes and Water Management Policies Affect Freshwater Resources (pp. 15–28). RAND Corporation.
Bolton, J., and Azar, A. (2018). Press Briefing on the National Biodefense Strategy. https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/pressbriefing-national-biodefense-strategy-091818/
Bonnell, J. T., and Klebesadel, R. W. (1996). ‘A Brief History of the Discovery of Cosmic Gamma-Ray Bursts’. AIP Conference Proceedings, 384, 977–980.
Bostrom, N. (2002a). Anthropic Bias: Observation Selection Effects in Science and Philosophy. Routledge.
Bostrom, N. (2002b). ‘Existential Risks: Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios and Related Hazards’. Journal of Evolution and Technology, 9.
Bostrom, N. (2003). ‘Astronomical Waste: The Opportunity Cost of Delayed Technological Development’. Utilitas, 15 (3), 308–314.
Bostrom, N. (2005). A Philosophical Quest for our Biggest Problems (talk at TEDGlobal). https://www.ted.com/talks/nick_bostrom_on_our_biggest_problems
Bostrom, N. (2006). ‘What Is a Singleton’. Linguistic and Philosophical Investigations, 5 (2), 48–54.
Bostrom, N. (2008). ‘Letter from Utopia’. Studies in Ethics, Law, and Technology, 2 (1).
Bostrom, N. (2009). ‘Pascal’s Mugging’. Analysis, 69 (3), 443–445.
Bostrom, N. (2011a). ‘Infinite Ethics’. Analysis and Metaphysics, 10, 9–59.
Bostrom, N. (2011b). ‘Information Hazards: A Typology of Potential Harms from Knowledge’. Review of Contemporary Philosophy, (10), 44–79.
Bostrom, N. (2012). ‘The Superintelligent Will: Motivation and Instrumental Rationality in Advanced Artificial Agents’. Minds and Machines, 22 (2), 71–85.
Bostrom, N. (2013). ‘Existential Risk Prevention as Global Priority’. Global Policy, 4 (1), 15–31.
Bostrom, N. (2014). Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford University Press.
Bostrom, N. (2018). ‘The Vulnerable World Hypothesis’ (Working Paper, v. 3.45).