Чёрный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости
Шрифт:
Darwin, Charles, 1859, On Natural Selection. London: Penguin Books, Great Ideas.
Daston, L. J., 1988, Classical Probability in the Enlightenment. Princeton,N.J.: Princeton University Press.
David, Florence Nightingale, 1962, Games, Gods, and Gambling: A History of Probability and Statistical Ideas. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Dawes, Robyn M., 1980, „Confidence in Intellectual Judgments vs. Confidence in Perceptual Judgments.“ In E. D. Lantermann and Н. Feger, eds., Similarity and Choice: Papers in Honor of Clyde Coombs. Bern, Switzerland: Huber.
– , 1988, Rational Choice in an Uncertain World. New York: Har-court.
– , 1989, „Measurement Models for Rating and Comparing Risks: The Context of AIDS.“ Conference Proceedings Health Services Research. Methodology: A Focus on AIDS, September 1989.
– , 1999, „A Message from Psychologists to Economists: Mere Predictability Doesn't Matter Like It Should, Without a Good Story Appended to It.“ Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 39: 29–40.
– , 2001a, „Clinical Versus Actuarial Judgment.“ International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences 2048–2051.
– , 2001b, Everyday Irrationality: How Pseudo-Scientists, Lunatics, and the Rest of Us Systematically Fail to Think Rationally. Oxford: Westview Press.
– , 2002, „The Ethics of Using or Not Using Statistical Prediction Rules in Psychological Practice and Related Consulting Activities.“ Philosophy of Science 69:178–184.
Dawes, Robyn M., D. Faust, and P. E. Meehl, 1989, „Clinical Versus Actuarial Judgment.“ Science 243:1668–1674.
Dawes, Robyn M., R. Fildes, M. Lawrence, and K. Ord, 1994, „The Past and the Future of Forecasting Research.“ International Journal of Forecasting 10:151–159.
Dawes, Robyn M., and T. L. Smith, 1985, „Attitude and Opinion Measurement.“ In G. Lindzey and E. Aronson, The Handbook of Social Psychology, Vol. 1. Hillsdale, N.J.: Lawrence Erlbaum.
De Bellaigue, Eric, de, 2004, British Book Publishing as a Business Since the 1960s. London: The British Library.
De Bondt, Werner, and Andreas Kappler, 2004, „Luck, Skill, and Bias in Economists' Forecasts.“ Working Paper, Driehaus Center for Behavioral Finance, DePaul University.
De Bondt, Werner F. M., and Richard M. Thaler, 1990, „Do Security Analysts Overreact?“ American Economic Review 80: 52–57.
Debreu, Gerard, 1959, Theorie de la valeur, Dunod, tr. Theory of Value. New York: Wiley.
De Finetti, Bruno, 1931,1989, „Probabilism.“ Erkenntnis 31:169–223.
– , 1975,1995, Filosophia della probabilita. Milan: Il Saggiatore.
Degeorge, Francois, Jayendu Patel, and Richard Zeckhauser, 1999, „Earnings Management to Exceed Thresholds.“ Journal of Business 72(1): 1–33.
DeLong, Bradford, Andrei Shleifer, Lawrence Summers, and Robert J. Waldmann, 1991. „The Survival of Noise Traders in Financial Markets.“ Journal of Business 64(1): 1–20.
Dennett, Daniel C, 1995, Darwin's Dangerous Idea: Evolution and the Meanings of Life. New York: Simon & Schuster.
– , 2003, Freedom Evolves. New York: Penguin Books.
Derman, E., and N. N. Taleb, 2005, „The Illusions of Dynamic Replication.“ Quantitative Finance 5: 323–326.
De Vany, Arthur, 2002, Hollywood Economics: Chaos in the Movie Industry. London: Roudedge.
De Vany, Arthur, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, and Mark Spitznagel, 2004, „Can We Shield Artists from Wild Uncertainty?“ presented at the Fort Lauderdale Film Festival Scholar's Workshop, June 2004.
DiPrete, Thomas A., and Greg Eirich, 2006, „Cumulative Advantage as a Mechanism for Inequality: A Review of Theoretical and Empirical Developments.“ Annual Review of Sociology 32: 271–297.
Dominitz, Jeff, and David Grether, 1999, „I Know What You Did Last Quarter: Economic Forecasts of Professional Forecasters.“ Working Paper, Caltech.
Donhardt, Gary L., 2004, „In Search of the Effects of Academic Achievement in Postgraduation Earnings.“ Research in Higher Education 45(3): 271–284.
Dugatkin, Lee Alan, 2001, The Imitation Factor: Evolution Beyond the Gene. New York: Simon 8c Schuster.
Dunbar, Nicholas, 1999, Inventing Money: The Story of Long-Term Capital Management and the Legends Behind It. Chichester, England: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. \
Dunning, D., D. W. Griffin, J. Milojkovic, and L. Ross, 1990, „The Overconfidence Effect in Social Prediction.“ Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 58:568–581.
Dye, Guillaume, 2004, A review of Lorenzo Perilli's Menodoto di Nicomedia, Munich and Leipzig: K. G. Saur, in Bryn Mawr Classical Review, December 20.
Easterwood, John
Eatwell, J., M. Milgate, and P. Newman, eds., 1987, The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics. London: Macmillan.
Eco, Umberto, 1992, How to Travel with a Salmon and Other Essays. San Diego: Harcourt.
– , 1994, Six Walks in the Fictional Woods. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.
– , 2000, Kant and the Platypus: Essays on Language and Cognition. New York: Harvest Books.
– , 2002, On Literature. Orlando: Harcourt Books.
– , 2003, Mouse or Rat? Translation as Negotiation. London: Orion Books.
Einhorn, H. J., and R. M. Hogarth, 1981, „Behavioral Decision Theory: Processes of Judgment and Choice.“ Annual Review of Psychology 32:53–88.
Ekeland, Ivar, 1990, Mathematics of the Unexpected. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.
Eldredge, Niles, and Stephen Jay Gould, 1972, „Punctuated Equilibria: An Alternative to Phyletic Gradualism.“ Models in Paleobiology, ed., T.J.M. Schopf. New York: Freeman.
Вперед в прошлое 5
5. Вперед в прошлое
Фантастика:
попаданцы
альтернативная история
рейтинг книги
Вперед в прошлое!
1. Вперед в прошлое
Фантастика:
попаданцы
рейтинг книги
Доктора вызывали? или Трудовые будни попаданки
Фантастика:
юмористическая фантастика
попаданцы
рейтинг книги
Отрок (XXI-XII)
Фантастика:
альтернативная история
рейтинг книги
